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Economist Open Future Competition

Essay submission on climate change, consumer power, and tech platform accountability.

Economist Open Future Competition

Competition Prompt: "What fundamental economic and political change, if any, is needed for an effective response to climate change?"

We live in paradoxical times. Human welfare has improved dramatically over the past century—poverty reduction, medical advances, increased life expectancy, expanded access to education and opportunity. By almost any measure, life has gotten better for billions of people. Yet environmental degradation accelerates simultaneously. These two trends cannot coexist indefinitely. The question is how to reconcile them.

The Power of Collective Pressure: Plastic Straws as Case Study

Before addressing the fundamental changes needed, consider a recent example of consumer power in action: the plastic straw movement.

In 2018, a video of a sea turtle with a plastic straw lodged in its nostril went viral. The image was visceral, undeniable, and shareable. Within months, what had been a niche environmental concern became mainstream outrage. Seattle and New York implemented bans. Starbucks pledged to eliminate plastic straws from all locations by 2020. Other major chains followed.

The plastic straw movement demonstrates something crucial: large corporations remain responsive to collective consumer pressure. When enough people care about an issue loudly enough, companies respond—not out of altruism, but out of self-interest. No company can afford to be on the wrong side of a viral movement.

Institutions bow to collective public pressures. The question is how to focus that pressure effectively on climate change, an issue far larger than plastic straws.

If consumer pressure can change corporate behavior on straws, it can change corporate behavior on carbon emissions, supply chain sustainability, and renewable energy adoption. The mechanism exists. The challenge is activating it at scale.

The Information Problem: Manufacturing Doubt

But there's a critical obstacle: public division about climate science itself. Despite 97 percent of climate scientists agreeing that climate-warming trends are caused by human activities, a 2018 ABC poll found that 64 percent of Americans believed significant scientific disagreement exists on the issue.

Read that again. Nearly two-thirds of Americans believe scientists disagree about climate change when, in reality, scientific consensus is overwhelming. This perception gap isn't accidental. It's manufactured.

The playbook for manufacturing doubt about climate science was perfected by the tobacco industry. Fred Seitz, a former president of the National Academy of Sciences, consulted for tobacco companies on how to create the appearance of scientific controversy. Later, he applied the same techniques to climate denial. Fred Singer, another physicist, played a similar role—first casting doubt on the link between secondhand smoke and cancer, then casting doubt on climate science.

These efforts were remarkably effective. By funding think tanks, sponsoring conferences, and amplifying minority scientific voices, the denial industry created a false impression of debate where little exists. The goal was never to win the scientific argument—it was to delay action by making the public think the science was unsettled.

Tech Platforms as Amplification Engines

Today, the manufacturing of doubt happens primarily on technology platforms. YouTube, Facebook, and Twitter have become the primary information sources for hundreds of millions of people. Their algorithms, optimized for engagement, systematically amplify controversial content—including climate denial.

Consider the case of Carlos Maza, a journalist who documented how YouTube's recommendation algorithm directed users toward climate denial videos. A user watching a mainstream news clip about climate change would be recommended increasingly extreme content, eventually landing on outright denial. The platform wasn't neutral—it was actively funneling people toward misinformation.

YouTube has removed harassment content. Facebook has removed fake news. Twitter has banned accounts promoting violence. These precedents establish that platforms can and do moderate content that harms society. They've decided that certain harms—harassment, electoral interference, violent extremism—warrant intervention.

Climate denial is at least as harmful as these categories. It actively undermines the public's ability to make informed decisions about existential risks. If platforms can remove content that harms individuals, why not content that harms humanity?

The $4 Trillion Question

The major technology platforms—Apple, Amazon, Google, Facebook, Microsoft—are collectively valued at approximately $4 trillion. These are among the most powerful institutions in human history. Their decisions about what content to promote or suppress shape public discourse more profoundly than any government policy or media organization.

This power creates responsibility. When a platform's algorithm systematically directs users toward misinformation, the platform bears responsibility for that outcome. The "we're just a neutral platform" defense doesn't hold when the platform actively chooses which content to surface and amplify.

The good news: these companies are sensitive to public pressure. They've responded to past controversies by changing policies. When advertisers threatened to pull spending over brand safety concerns, platforms implemented new safeguards. When users protested privacy violations, platforms adjusted their practices. When governments threatened regulation, platforms preemptively self-regulated.

The same mechanisms that pressured platforms on harassment, privacy, and brand safety can pressure them on climate denial.

The Proposal: Redirect Consumer Pressure Toward Platform Accountability

Here is the fundamental change needed: sustained public activism compelling technology platforms to treat climate denial as seriously as they treat other categories of harmful content.

This doesn't require new laws, international treaties, or government intervention—though those may help. It requires organized consumer demand. If enough users, advertisers, and shareholders demand that platforms stop amplifying climate denial, platforms will comply. Not because they care about climate, but because they care about their business.

Concretely, this means:

  • Demanding that platforms apply their existing misinformation policies to climate denial with the same rigor they apply to other categories
  • Pressuring advertisers to pull spending from platforms that refuse to act
  • Supporting shareholder resolutions requiring platforms to audit their algorithmic amplification of denial content
  • Publicizing and shaming the specific mechanisms by which platforms spread denial

The plastic straw movement succeeded because it was visceral, specific, and actionable. "Ban plastic straws" is a clear demand. The climate platform accountability movement needs similarly clear demands: "Stop recommending climate denial" is concrete enough to organize around.

Conclusion: Using Existing Tools for Existential Stakes

The fundamental change we need isn't new policy or new technology. It's redirecting existing tools—consumer pressure and platform moderation—toward the most pressing problem of our time.

The mechanisms already exist. Consumer pressure works; we've seen it with straws, harassment, and privacy. Platforms can moderate content; they already do for other categories of harm. The scientific consensus exists; 97 percent agreement is as close to unanimity as science gets.

What's missing is the connection between these elements. The public doesn't realize that platforms are actively amplifying denial. Activists haven't focused pressure on the specific companies enabling misinformation. The climate movement hasn't made platform accountability a central demand.

Bridging these gaps requires no fundamental transformation of economic or political systems. It requires applying proven tactics to new targets. If we can successfully pressure the handful of companies that control information flow to stop amplifying denial, we remove the primary obstacle to public consensus on climate action.

And once public consensus exists, corporate and political action will follow—just as it did with plastic straws.